Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 0.114634 0.127908 0.141505 0.156436 0.172333 0.188716 0.206837
2024-11-03 0.097552 0.115924 0.135459 0.157646 0.182016 0.207848 0.237179
2024-11-10 0.086589 0.108753 0.133087 0.161508 0.193516 0.228198 0.268364
2024-11-17 0.075468 0.100088 0.127971 0.161394 0.199901 0.242440 0.292554
2024-11-24 0.067669 0.094386 0.125508 0.163682 0.208526 0.258879 0.319040
2024-12-01 0.060560 0.088775 0.122549 0.164883 0.215513 0.273201 0.342994
2024-12-08 0.053881 0.083049 0.118919 0.164828 0.220670 0.285168 0.364095
2024-12-15 0.048588 0.078587 0.116433 0.165809 0.226789 0.298075 0.386185
2024-12-22 0.043194 0.073499 0.112755 0.164972 0.230439 0.307875 0.404508
2024-12-29 0.040114 0.071270 0.112529 0.168285 0.239041 0.323513 0.429722
2025-01-05 0.036462 0.067913 0.110564 0.169170 0.244479 0.335246 0.450243
2025-01-12 0.032899 0.064369 0.108097 0.169195 0.248681 0.345372 0.468780
2025-01-19 0.028987 0.060099 0.104566 0.167876 0.251373 0.353979 0.485980
2025-01-26 0.026300 0.057466 0.103137 0.169229 0.257416 0.366710 0.508251
2025-02-02 0.024664 0.056354 0.103776 0.173323 0.266998 0.383886 0.536060
2025-02-09 0.022035 0.053350 0.101474 0.173238 0.271020 0.394048 0.555235
2025-02-16 0.020299 0.051688 0.101035 0.175650 0.278290 0.408303 0.579516
2025-02-23 0.018446 0.049626 0.099855 0.176920 0.283976 0.420525 0.601287
2025-03-02 0.016471 0.047123 0.097837 0.176869 0.287807 0.430331 0.620029
2025-03-09 0.014909 0.045222 0.096634 0.177900 0.293039 0.441914 0.641016
2025-03-16 0.013124 0.042660 0.094215 0.177027 0.295584 0.449969 0.657528
2025-03-23 0.012295 0.041953 0.094755 0.180494 0.304091 0.465795 0.683945
2025-03-30 0.011094 0.040310 0.093644 0.181420 0.309035 0.476953 0.704437